Guvernul s-a închis din lipsă de bani…
[Music] I’m Cristian Sima and you’re on the Feed Your Grid channel. The United States government shut down this morning for several hours because the sun had not yet risen in Washington. We are setting the stage for furloughing hundreds of thousands of federal employees and closing a host of programs and services essential to the running of the American state. Let’s see why it closed. The fiscal year in the United States ends on September 30 and begins on October 1. The public debt reached 38 trillion, but on July 4th Congress voted to increase the public debt to 41.5 trillion on signs of what it will look like when Mr. Trump leaves the White House, that is, he will leave America with 41,000 billion public debt, so that every American child when he is born will have more than 100,000 thousand in debt, and every man in America who works will have to pay $ 300,000 in taxes and fees to become profitable for the American economy. As the new fiscal year begins today, we should have had a budget. We don’t have a budget. We could extend the old one until Nov. 21, which Mr. Trump wanted to gain by about three more weeks, but the Democrats didn’t want. Democrats did not want to vote because the extension passed the House of Representatives, but in the Senate Trump needs 60 senators. He’s only 53 to one from the Democrats who said he doesn’t want to embarrass the government, but it’s shutting down so he needs about seven or seven Democratic senators to find and vote for this extension, at least this extension. As they did not meet , moreover, Trump behaved quite arrogantly because he had a meeting with the heads of the Democratic opposition last week, on Thursday, and canceled it on the spot, saying that he did not need to discuss, negotiate anything. Obviously, the pride is just as big among the Democrats. They got angry too , and look at this place from the war. The government was closed to pride. That is, the government has no more money. What does it mean he has no more money? It obviously doesn’t mean that Trump won’t have gas money for the presidential cars or Air Force One. Nor does it mean that the American military is no longer paid and everyone goes home and America is left without a guard. Because there are some buffer funds that come into play in case of such a thing. Instead, government agencies like the Labor Bureau, where Mr. Trump was unhappy with how he published unemployment two months ago and fired the boss and put and put his man, but unemployment didn’t go down, it continued to rise to 4.3. Apparently, this office will not publish our unemployment on Friday for the past month. I mean the month of September. Instead, we’ll at least get the private sector data that ADP releases today at 3:15 an hour and a quarter before the market opens. Let’s see what else we should know. The full shutdown began after top Democrats and Republicans, including President Trump, failed to reach a short-term deal to keep the government funded. They didn’t arrive. It can arrive anytime today and tomorrow and the day after. In the past, the last time the government shut down, because of money that Trump was asking for to build the wall and he didn’t get it, but he did give up that money for the wall, was in his first term in 2018 in December when from December 22nd to January 25th, for 35 days, the government could not make payments. The Democrats this time led by Sen. Chuck Schumer and Rep. Hakim Jeffries, one of the big Republican bosses, are trying any interim funding measure to include an extension of the increased tax credits from Obamacare. Excuse me, Jeffries is still a Democrat. I still make mistakes. So what do the Democrats want? Why don’t they vote? Well, simple. Because Mr. Trump cut everything, all the tax burdens from Obamacare so that the American health care system is totally private and totally very expensive. He put taxes on 100% imported drugs. Pfizer said it was going to build some plants in America and was forgiven and that’s it. You know the system , I pay a fee, some will suffer, but others who are friends with me and kiss me somewhere he will benefit from advantages. Like it was with Apple, who promised him 600 billion or investments, but he only made a 2 billion phone screen factory in America, or how it was with Mr. Zuckerberg, who at the famous meeting, you know, said: “Hey Mark, how much are you investing?” And he said 600 billion, but not realizing that that microphone was off. He was approved by the boss and said: “I said good”. I mean, I had to say more than 600 billion or that after all it doesn’t hurt my mouth to say a trillion. I guess Facebook doesn’t have that much money. As Oracle does not have the 500 billion that it will invest in the mega infrastructure project. As Nvidia doesn’t have the money that Trump dreams of, and as the Saudis don’t have a trillion unless they borrow it by selling oil in advance for the next five years, to invest in all kinds of things with the United States, artificial intelligence and new capital, Line and so on. But let’s go back to the situation this morning at the Capitol, at the Capitol and at the White House. So on Tuesday, Trump hinted yesterday that his administration could take major steps during a shutdown, including cutting government benefits for large numbers of people. That is, those who vote democrats. Be careful. Once he can throw you out. Naturally, you realize that starting this morning everyone is also being sent on unpaid leave. Those who were supposed to calculate unemployment and tell us how many jobs were created in September are the first to be affected. They’re not going to post unemployment on Friday and they’ve gone home, they can walk around Central Park, they can go to Yellowstone if they have money saved up. If they don’t go to the bank, they borrow, because usually after about 35 days, the maximum while the government was stopped, they will receive their salaries. But Trump is threatening them, you know, but they can stop getting them. And look, this is how I’m going to make a 50% reduction in the budget system. Which is not bad. In the end, the public debt is falling, it is falling faster than Elon Musk managed. A lot of employees and all good and beautiful and even unemployment if they don’t publish it anyway they expected the unemployment rate to go over 4.3% and that’s what they’re going to brag about that unemployment hasn’t increased. Well, if I didn’t publish it, it sure didn’t increase or decrease. The Senate has now adjourned after last-minute votes on Republican and Democratic funding proposals both failed. One more thing and they are sent home. That is, the government also pays the senators and those in the House of Representatives. There is no problem for one of them to complain about not getting their salary for September and to stop coming to work. But basically all the bureaucratic apparatus around the congress, around the House of Representatives and the Senate will be sent home. I mean, they, the senators, come to vote, agree or do something to close this shutdown. But on the other hand, they don’t have any drivers, they don’t have secretaries anymore, they don’t have all kinds of image advisors and so on. Now if we look at how the stock market reacted, yesterday the stock market closed close to an all-time high. About all time high if we want at the level of 0.1 0.2% on all indices. Great happiness even the Russell is approaching an all time high at 2460 the Dow Jones is almost hitting 45000. The Nasdaq now I’m not telling you it stopped a little before 25000 25000. Think it was at 5000 in 2016 and in 2003 it was 900. So to give you an idea of how much it could go up, it’s true that it had another drop from that between 2001 and between 2000 the Nasdaq with and 2016. It was from 5000 to 700 and it took 16 years to come back. It is possible that even now from 25000 we will return to 5000 and it will take us 9 16 years to return to 25000. Now the futures. Index futures are all down, right? Spectacular. You lose 0.6, 0.7, 0.8%. Maybe it will come down at the end of today on the emotional thing that the government shut down and there are some problems at 1%. Yes, what does it matter if the S&P futures go from 6750, the all-time high to about 6650. It may also lead to how it closed witches below 6600. No problem. Even if the futures correct 10% and we go to 6150 or below 6000 where we were at the beginning of the year, and there is no problem because the prices are high, inflated some with the pump and so on. Someone predicted this. It’s on cash. The world says he’s stupid, that why did he sell Apple for 225, that now it’s 250. So he has 380 billion cash invested in government securities for a maximum of two years. Almost 90% of the United States public debt in the short term, meaning a few months, a year and two years, is in the hands of guess who and who is the number one creditor? Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway. Now, these futures contracts give us emotional meaning on day one. I’m not telling you to go buy because anyway I’m expecting a 10-15 % correction which would be welcome. We don’t know if it comes now with the shutdown, but it sure can happen. And the shutdown is just a little black swan like that. Well, we’ll see what can happen next. If it takes a long time, then things rush because a lot of organizations will delay the various smooth running of justice, financial regulations and so on. Not the stock market, because the poor stock market is private. Stocks will be bought and sold. The 90-something percent American private economy will move on. But see the Security Exchange Commission if you need the IRS and so on. There are state institutions that have to work and there, where many people are also democrats, they might not agree with Mr. Trump and not only take their leave without pay, but also do some strikes, on the grounds that the American president who promised Americans a better life until now has been concerned with cutting taxes for big companies. As a result, all billionaires are much more billionaires than they were on January 20. Even he himself, Mr. Trump, earned by declaring to the tax office now at the end of the fiscal year 2 billion dollars in profit. From the cryptocurrency speculation you see sir, they are not influenced by his election, but they were the first day that he pulled their monumental stake and sold the Donald Trump and Melania twitter cryptocurrencies on the Donald Trump Truth that he has very nicely, Donald Trump’s truth and where he sold some shares right after he became president for a huge amount, the shares are now 50% cheaper and so on. Look, he managed to make 2 billion that he apparently never declared to the IRS in his entire life. So the Trump family’s personal earnings from January so far are far greater than anything the Trump family has earned in their entire lives. Yes, 40% of Americans still love him because he’s a jerk and they want to be jerks too and fight the damn Democrats and no one is going to change our gender. And look, I still think so. So why not believe it? Why don’t we think that if Georgescu was president now it was 1 RON to a pound? Bai Ciucă, but why don’t you make, me, 1 RON two pounds? Well, if you subtract a zero from the money and 100 RON becomes 10 RON, it is true that the Romanian will earn 400 RON instead of 4000 RON. Yes, but every leu will be two pounds, what’s the problem? The prices remain the same and you say: “Look, I’m stronger than Georgescu. Georgescu wants 1 RON, one pound. I did 1 RON, two pounds. What you don’t understand is that if a currency is very strong, that doesn’t change your life. It depends on how much you earn in that currency, because the franc is the strongest for nothing. If the salaries aren’t as high, it’s for nothing that the dirham in Dubai is very strong. If an immigrant driver from India he earns the equivalent in dirhams, the equivalent of $300, that he is starving in that Dubai. And these things are hard to understand, not to mention that the big economies, including Donald Trump, want a weaker dollar to export. If you want your products to invade the world, you have to produce them in your country, so that when you sell abroad the currency collected abroad exchange against your currency more expensive. Japan wanted a weak currency . Since the dollar is no longer 70 yen. Dudu, the Japanese economy is back to 45000 from where it was 41000 13000 years ago. it took him 36 years to get back to where he was in ’89. The Yuan that Xi always wants to have The Yuan is weak. He doesn’t want to have a $1 Yuan that he wouldn’t export anything. No, because those Chinese still eat and live in Yuan. We eat and live in lions. What good is it to us that the le is strong? Oh, if we go to the Cote d’Azur and break into figures, then use us. But until then it is of little use to us. Let’s see now how the shutdown of the major economic reports will affect. Well, there’s a poster promoting a government shutdown loan program . It stands outside the United States Senate Federal Credit Union branch in the Hart Senate Office Building in Washington on Tuesday, Sept. 30 , 2025. A poster promotes a government shutdown support loan program in front of the United States Senate Federal Credit Union branch in the Hart Senate Office Building in Washington. A shutdown could delay the release of some economic reports. As I told you, we will not have unemployment, but not only unemployment. And these things will influence the financial markets. In a contingency plan released Friday, the Labor Department said the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the BLS, the agency that produces government reports on the economy, would suspend all operations in the event of a shutdown. Today I closed, he suspended them. We don’t have unemployment on Friday. Economic data scheduled for interim publication during the outage will not be published. That’s what the plan mentioned. The next BLS employment report was scheduled for Friday. The consumer price index CPI, which is also BLS for September, scheduled for October 15. If we stay closed until October 15, two weeks, we won’t see inflation, that is, consumer price index, we won’t see retail sales either. Look at retail sales. Beware, it will collapse immediately because if they don’t take the money, they would have some savings, but they don’t start making investments, buying, emptying the supermarket shelves, because they don’t know when they will get their next salary and if they will get it and they won’t be laid off. Wells Fargo economist Michael Pugliese noted last week that after the last total government shutdown in 2013, it was the longest shutdown in 2018, but it wasn’t total. Then there was a very large buffer that could be used during the 35-day shutdown due to Trump’s wall in 2018. Under Obama in 2013, instead the government shut down for 18 days in total and the monthly unemployment reports, consumer price index were delayed by about two weeks. So expect that instead of Friday’s unemployment, we’ll see in two weeks the unemployment release, if it will be released and if this thing doesn’t last until the end of October. On the other hand, Trump hopes to force the hand of the Federal Reserve, which has its next meeting, the FOMC, at the end of October, and cut interest rates to further reduce fiscal pressure and further reduce the public debt that continues to grow, even though interest rates have been cut by 0.25, that this interest rate cut is only for future borrowing, which damn future borrowing cannot be done. That is, the federal reserve cannot, at the request of the Ministry of Finance, issue other state securities that it is not allowed until the government is given the go-ahead. Good. Can this shutdown extend into the next month? Pugliese says yes. In the case of a partial shutdown, as it was at the end of 2018. Pugliese noted that the first estimate of gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of that year was delayed by a month. So as we finished the third quarter yesterday and everyone is waiting to see if the US economy in the third quarter will be more like the 2nd quarter when it grew by 3.8 or more like the 1st quarter when Trump came and it was down by 0.5 because this year was a total chaos in the statistical data, that is, after the first quarter with economic decline came the second quarter with economic growth. Many sold in desperation and bought in and produced in despair that the tariffs were coming. The vast majority of tariffs have not come, and those that have come are much lower than was hoped for in April when Liberation Day, Mr. Trump put some tariffs on us to go to the Chinese up to 145%. So since we don’t know how Trump will react, neither do the Democrats. Trump is unpredictable anyway, he doesn’t know it either. He works on nerves and anger, and if the Democrats upset him, he will take even more drastic measures. He’s going to throw people out, he’s going to try to force the grade because his deals are based on threats, blackmail, otherwise if he still wanted to understand at all, he wouldn’t have canceled their meeting and at least got those two Democrats, Jeffries and the other one, to talk to them last Thursday and at least mitigate with a statement. The highlight is that although he didn’t meet them, he made a monumental ass. After the Democrats didn’t go to the meeting with Trump at the White House, Trump released a video clip made with the AI in which, you see, Jeffries is very angry and swears at his fellow Democrats who would have come to the meeting for not accepting what Trump is asking. This donkey really upset the Democrats and if Trump said that it was not his work that such a thing was done, super fake thing that fooled a lot of people on TikTok, especially since TikTok is now owned by Larry Ellison in America and on other social networks. It is certain that the world no longer understands anything. The news is true, it is not true. Democrats were at the meeting, they weren’t at the meeting. But in all this chaos Trump is doing very well. He’s used to chaos. He’s used to not knowing what he’s up to. The problem is that he doesn’t have a plan either. And when you don’t have a plan and do everything ad hoc and with hei rup, not everything works out for you. But let’s hope from the bottom of our hearts that the stock market will calm down. It won’t go down much. A minor correction anyway, at least 2 3% was welcome. And Mr. Trump will clap hands with the Democrats, tell us that he won, but he will accept that Obamacare will continue and provisional until November 21st, and until November 21st in a month and a half he may be able to vote a budget. So next year’s budget will be quite strange. Remember that there is another problem here. There is the complaint filed by Trump in the Supreme Court because right now the American judiciary has declared that the tariffs that have been paid on steel imports, on imports from India, that is, everything that has put tariffs, are illegal without congressional approval. As a result, if the Supreme Court doesn’t rule on Trump, here’s the big problem, suddenly the United States budget has to pay back almost 1.2 trillion of the money collected from these tariffs and it doesn’t have it. Only he doesn’t have them. They have to borrow on the signs at even higher interest rates to get them quickly and pay people, especially if it’s a Supreme Court decision. My view is that Trump has six three votes in the Supreme Court and that the court ruling that struck down the tariffs will in turn be overturned by the Supreme Court and the tariffs will remain as they are. So the US government is not going to give back the trillion dollars. Now what can I tell you? Even the American judiciary began to be influenced by politics. If the Fed is influenced by politics, justice is influenced by politics, the independence of the United States, independence from the system and monetary policy, which made America great again, a winter because when everything is influenced by politics, few people want to invest in your country. And this was seen most strongly yesterday after the shutdown was announced because interest rates on government bonds, although the Federal Reserve will cut by 0.25, the 10-year interest rate, which was 4.06 before the cut, today we hit 4.20. And look at something else. Market volatility, the VIX. The market doesn’t fall too bad, almost not even 1%. Today, but the VIX is 17, and at VIX 21 expect a 2 3% correction in a single day. Share, like, subscribe. Don’t forget on celindra.ro you can sign up for questions and answers. A memorable evening with Cristian Sima, organized by the Romanian Business Club. You will see there how you can reserve a seat in VIP and normal and so on. It’s in a very beautiful and very welcoming hall located on the boulevard aviators, on Alexandrina street number 38, and where I’m waiting for you on the evening of October 9th to talk for a long time even after midnight because two days after that I’m leaving for Canada. I told you, I have to have an eye treatment so that I don’t go blind and can still be here with you for many more years. And I won’t be back from Canada until the 25th, but know that I’ve been recording a lot of clips, so I won’t let you go a day without a new Feed Your Grid YouTube video. You will see Ovidiu Tudoruță again at Palavre. I recorded a show yesterday about Putin and Xi. You will also see about five or six episodes from the book of the great confession of the fugitive broker. You’re going to see three great episodes about the subprime crisis and how the banking system works, and many more that I’ve already recorded and will be giving you during my absence until November 25th. So I thought you guys don’t get bored and miss me in quotes and you’ll get daily video just like the dose from just like the pack of cigarettes. Regarding the shutdown of the US government. I have this addition because five minutes ago the published private sector unemployment by ADP came out. ADP is a company listed on the stock exchange where for a fee many companies do their statistics, surveys and so on . A kind of institute, a CURS survey, how should I say it in our country. Well, the ADP every Wednesday in the first month, so two days before the official unemployment that the Bureau of Labor Department publishes, they publish unemployment only in the private sector, because that’s the only place they have data, and they expected September to create not many jobs, only 500. I wanted to give you the news because it’s spectacular. Not only were 500 jobs not created , 32,000 were lost. It is a negative survey, which we have only seen during the pandemic and when it made sense to lose jobs. So Mr. Trump can be glad that the government shut down. On Friday we won’t have an official survey, an official unemployment, excuse me, an official unemployment from the United States labor bureau, so we won’t see a 4.4 unemployment rate, we won’t see anything, but until then we are stuck with the ADP figures published by the private sector, the sector that is the engine of the American economy and where not only no new jobs were created , but 32,000 good jobs were lost.
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📌 CAPITOLE:
0:00 – Introducere – Guvernul SUA s-a închis
0:40 – Datoria publică: 38 trilioane $ și creșterea la 41.5 trilioane
1:41 – De ce nu avem buget? Conflictul Trump-Democrați
2:04 – Senatul: Trump are nevoie de 60 de senatori
2:43 – Orgoliile politice și negocierile eșuate
3:04 – Ce înseamnă “guvernul nu mai are bani”?
3:59 – Bureau of Labor și publicarea șomajului
4:14 – Datele ADP din sectorul privat
4:34 – Istoricul închiderilor guvernamentale
5:05 – Democrații și Obamacare
6:02 – Sistemul medical american și taxele pe medicamente
7:03 – Investițiile promise de companii (Apple, Meta, Oracle)
8:04 – Angajații federali în concediu fără plată
9:03 – Trump: reducere de 50% în sistemul bugetar
9:12 – Senatul suspendat – cum funcționează?
10:01 – Aparatul birocratic trimis acasă
10:18 – Reacția bursei: ALL TIME HIGH
11:04 – Nasdaq: de la 5000 la 25000
11:15 – Futures-urile și emoțiile pieței
12:17 – Warren Buffett: 380 miliarde $ în cash
13:09 – Așteptări pentru corecție de 10-15%
14:04 – SEC și instituțiile de stat
14:27 – Profiturile familiei Trump: 2 miliarde $
15:19 – Truth Social și criptomonedele Trump
16:03 – Moneda puternică vs salariile
17:29 – Yuan, Yen și strategiile valutare
18:25 – Rapoartele economice întârziate
20:09 – CPI și Retail Sales – ce nu vom vedea
20:40 – Wells Fargo: estimări pentru prelungirea shutdown-ului
21:12 – Shutdown-ul din 2013 vs 2018
22:00 – Federal Reserve și tăierea dobânzilor
23:00 – Trimestrul 3: creștere sau scădere economică?
23:37 – Tarifele și Liberation Day
24:02 – Trump: decizii pe bază de emoții
24:24 – Video deepfake cu AI și democrații
25:20 – TikTok și Larry Ellison
26:07 – Scenariul optimist: Trump și democrații bat palma
26:24 – Curtea Supremă și tarifele ilegale
27:07 – 1.2 trilioane $ în tarife – vor fi returnate?
27:39 – Justiția influențată de politic
28:10 – Independența SUA în pericol
28:27 – Dobânzile la 10 ani: de la 4.06 la 4.20
28:49 – VIX-ul și volatilitatea pieței
29:03 – Anunț: Seară memorabilă cu Cristian Sima
29:26 – Tratament medical și clipuri pregătite
30:08 – Palavre cu Ovidiu Tuduruță
30:57 – BREAKING: Datele ADP – pierderi de 32.000 locuri de muncă!
🎯 CE VEI ÎNVĂȚA:
✅ De ce s-a închis guvernul american și ce înseamnă pentru economie
✅ Impactul asupra rapoartelor economice (șomaj, inflație, retail sales)
✅ Cum reacționează Wall Street la shutdown
✅ Strategia lui Warren Buffett: 380 miliarde $ în cash
✅ Datoria publică: de la 38 la 41.5 trilioane $
✅ Federal Reserve și tăierile de dobânzi
✅ Problema tarifelor la Curtea Supremă
✅ BREAKING: Sectorul privat pierde 32.000 de locuri de muncă (ADP)
📊 INDICATORI CHEIE DISCUTAȚI:
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 – ALL TIME HIGH
VIX: 17 (atenție la 21 pentru corecție majoră)
Dobânzi la 10 ani: 4.20%
Datoria publică SUA: 41.5 trilioane $
ADP: -32.000 locuri de muncă (septembrie 2025)
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📅 9 OCTOMBRIE 2025 – Seară memorabilă cu Cristian Sima
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
Conținutul acestui video este doar în scop educațional și informativ. Nu reprezintă recomandări de investiții. Consultă un consilier financiar autorizat înainte de a lua orice decizie financiară.
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